隐含能源转移的全球性转变与动力解析

发布时间:2024-03-28        浏览量:11

时间:2024年4月1日(星期一)13:00-14:00

地点:腾讯会议:297-315-166

主题:隐含能源转移的全球性转变与动力解析(The shift of embodied energy flows among the Global South and Global North in the post-globalization era)

主讲人:周彦楠(8087金沙娱场城)

简介:周彦楠,8087金沙娱场城公共管理系讲师。中国科学院大学理学博士,研究方向为能源环境管理与区域可持续发展。在Energy EconomicsJournal of Environmental ManagementResource Conservation and RecyclingJournal of Geographic Sciences等期刊发表论文十余篇,核心参与国家自然科学基金优秀青年科学基金项目、重点项目、面上项目、国家重点研发计划以及地方发展规划课题等十余项。

Yannan Zhou is a lecturer at the Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology. She holds a Doctor of Science degree from the University of Chinese Academy of Science. Her research focus is on energy environmental management and regional sustainable development. She has published over 10 research articles in peer-reviewed journals such as Energy Economics, Journal of Environmental Management, Resource Conservation and Recycling, Journal of Geographic Sciences, and so on. She has participated in more than 10 research projects including the National Natural Science Foundation Excellent Young Scientists Fund Program, Key Program, General Program, National Key Research and Development Project, and local development planning projects.

摘要:全球化时代,不仅“显性”的能源贸易在全球范围内流动和配置,能源作为重要的基础原材料和生产动力,嵌入到全球生产网络中,隐含在工业产品中以商品贸易的形式在全球范围内进行再次的分配。而随着全球化的退潮,贸易的全球化向区域化转变,全球能源消费中心正逐渐从全球北方转向全球南方,一些南方国家正在推动由北方国家主导的全球能源治理格局。在后全球化时代,国际贸易对全球能源格局的影响及其对实现全球范围内更公平的能源再分配的潜在贡献仍未明确,发达国家和发展中国家隐含能源转移差异的变化及背后的驱动因素尚不明晰。因此,本研究基于IEA能源消费数据以及GTAP数据库构建2000-2019年全球贸易隐含能源转移网络,分析后全球化时代,国际贸易中发达国家和发展中国家隐含能源转移的全球空间模式和驱动力的变化,对促进全球范围内更公正的能源分配以及推进能源公正转型具有重要理论意义。

Concerns about the energy associated with the manufacturing of a product or service or so-called embodied energy in international trade have been increasing due to global energy shortages and environmental degradation. With globalisation slowing, the shifting global spatial patterns and driving forces of energy embodied in international trade deserve deeper investigation. Using the most up-to-date multi-regional input-output database (GTAP 11), this research analyses the spatial pattern and driving forces of change for energy embodied in international trade among the Global North and South, namely developed and developing countries, from 2000 to 2019. The results show that North-North trade dominates global embodied energy transfers, although its dominance is waning. The growth of embodied energy transfers is shifting from South-North to South-South trade. Yet the difference in embodied energy transfers between the Global South to Global North remains huge. In further parsing the drivers behind embodied energy transfers, this research finds that the scale of trade was the primary driver of growth in global embodied energy transfers, but its effect was fading and even had a weak negative effect on North-North and North-South embodied energy transfers between 2014 and 2019. Energy intensity was the primary inhibitor of global embodied energy transfers but with a declining influence except for South-South trade in the later stage (24.28% during 2014–2019). The role of trade structure effects on global embodied energy transfers became increasingly evident, especially in the later phase (2014–2019) for South-South (33.08%) and South-North trade (13.22%). In contrast, changes in production structure had a small impact on global embodied energy transfers. The findings show the importance of portraying embodied energy flows to help identify the main drivers and reemphasize the need to reduce energy consumption along global value chains.